Coconut Oil Price Trend Q2 2026 | Price Trends, Forecast, Chart, Prices And Index

The Coconut Oil Price Trend moved lower across most monitored markets in Q2 2026, as improved copra availability, softer edible oil demand, and stronger competition from lower-priced palm oil put pressure on the market. After tighter supply conditions earlier in the year, the arrival of the harvest season in major producing regions helped improve availability. As a result, Coconut Oil Prices generally declined during the quarter, with India recording some of the sharpest falls.

Coconut oil is widely used in food products, personal care, cosmetics, pharmaceuticals, oleochemicals, and other applications. Because of this broad usage, its price can change quickly when raw material availability, consumer demand, competing vegetable oils, or transportation costs change.

Q2 2026 was an interesting period for the market because the main pressure did not come from a lack of demand alone. Better copra availability played a major role. When more copra becomes available to crushers and processors, the pressure on coconut oil prices normally reduces. At the same time, buyers had more options because palm oil remained a cheaper alternative for many applications.

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Coconut Oil Price Trend in Q2 2026

The global market became noticeably softer during the second quarter. In simple terms, there was more material available while buyers were less aggressive than before.

The Philippines and Indonesia are important sources of coconut oil and copra. Their harvest-season availability helped improve the supply situation during the quarter. This reduced some of the tightness seen previously and gave buyers more room to negotiate.

The Coconut Oil Price Chart showed a broad downward direction across most monitored markets. Quarterly declines were particularly visible in India, while export and import markets in Southeast Asia, Europe, the United States, and China experienced comparatively moderate decreases.

Another important factor was competition from palm oil. When palm oil becomes more attractive from a price perspective, some buyers can adjust their purchasing mix. This creates additional pressure on coconut oil sellers, particularly in applications where substitution is possible.

June brought an even sharper correction in many markets. Buyers became more cautious, and comfortable inventories reduced the need for aggressive restocking.

The Coconut Oil Price Index therefore remained influenced by three major themes: improving copra supply, softer demand, and competition from other edible oils.

Philippines Coconut Oil Prices

The Philippines remained one of the most important markets to watch during Q2 2026.

Crude Coconut Oil, or CCNO, export prices on an FOB Manila basis declined by approximately 4.61% during the quarter. The main reason was improved copra availability during the harvest season.

When copra supply improves, crushers and processors generally have better access to raw material. This reduces the urgency to pay higher prices for coconut oil.

Global edible oil demand was also softer, which added to the pressure on export prices. Buyers were able to take a more careful approach instead of competing aggressively for available material.

The decline became much more visible in June. Philippine crude Coconut Oil Prices fell by approximately 19.54% compared with May.

This sharp monthly correction suggests that the supply situation had become considerably more comfortable toward the end of the quarter.

Refined Coconut Oil in the Philippines

Refined RBD coconut oil followed a similar pattern.

The quarterly Coconut Oil Price Trend for refined RBD coconut oil declined by approximately 5.36%.

The combination of better copra supply and softer demand from food and oleochemical buyers kept pressure on refined prices. Producers had to operate in a market where buyers were less willing to accept higher offers.

June prices declined by around 13.25% compared with May, showing that the correction became stronger toward the end of Q2.

For buyers, this created a more comfortable purchasing environment, while sellers faced greater competition to maintain volumes.

Indonesia Coconut Oil Prices

Indonesia also experienced a softer market during Q2 2026.

Crude coconut oil export prices on an FOB Jakarta basis declined by approximately 1.28% compared with Q1.

Domestic harvest activity improved copra availability, which reduced raw-material pressure. At the same time, weaker global demand limited the ability of exporters to increase prices.

The monthly correction in June was much stronger, with crude coconut oil prices falling by approximately 25.81% compared with May.

This large monthly decline highlights the difference between quarterly and monthly price movements. A market can appear relatively stable when viewed across three months but still experience a sharp correction in the final month.

Refined Coconut Oil in Indonesia

Refined RBD coconut oil prices declined by approximately 0.53% in Q2 2026.

Compared with crude coconut oil, refined prices were relatively stable during most of the quarter. Consistent copra availability and regular processing activity helped prevent a major price movement.

However, June brought a correction of around 9.96% compared with May as buyers moderated procurement.

The Indonesian market therefore remained relatively balanced during most of Q2 before experiencing stronger downward pressure at the end of the quarter.

Malaysia Coconut Oil Prices

Malaysia's coconut oil market was influenced by developments in both the Philippines and Indonesia because it imports coconut oil from these origins.

Philippines-origin crude coconut oil imported into Malaysia declined by approximately 4.34% during Q2 on a CIF Port Kelang basis.

The decrease largely reflected lower Philippine FOB prices. As prices at the source declined, the change gradually passed through into Malaysian import valuations.

June brought a sharper correction, with prices falling by approximately 19.20% compared with May.

Indonesia-origin crude coconut oil showed a smaller quarterly decline of approximately 1.03%. The comfortable copra supply in Indonesia helped keep source prices under pressure.

However, June prices dropped by approximately 25.45% compared with May, reflecting the stronger correction at the Indonesian origin.

These movements show how import markets can quickly respond to price changes in their source countries.

Netherlands Coconut Oil Prices

The Netherlands also saw mixed but generally softer coconut oil pricing during Q2.

Philippines-origin crude coconut oil imported into the Netherlands declined by approximately 2.77% during the quarter.

European buyers benefited from comfortable supply conditions, while lower Philippine export prices passed through to CIF Rotterdam values.

June recorded a sharper decline of approximately 15.82% compared with May.

Indonesia-origin crude coconut oil was slightly different. Prices increased by approximately 0.52% during Q2, supported by some early strength in Indonesian FOB prices during April and May.

However, this small increase did not last. In June, Indonesia-origin coconut oil prices in the Netherlands fell by approximately 16.67% compared with May.

This late-quarter reversal shows how quickly international import prices can change when origin markets turn softer.

USA Coconut Oil Prices

The United States also experienced declining coconut oil prices during Q2.

Philippines-origin crude coconut oil imported to the US West Coast declined by approximately 2.52% during the quarter.

Lower Philippine FOB prices were passed through into CIF Los Angeles valuations. Comfortable supply at the origin reduced the need for buyers to pay higher prices.

June brought a decline of around 15.45% compared with May.

On the East Coast, Philippines-origin crude coconut oil prices declined by approximately 1.27% in Q2, followed by a June decrease of approximately 13.03%.

Refined RBD coconut oil also moved lower. West Coast prices declined by approximately 3.27% during Q2, with June falling another 9.51%.

On the East Coast, refined coconut oil declined by approximately 2.12% during the quarter, while June prices fell around 7.44%.

The US market therefore followed the wider global trend of improving supply and more cautious buying.

China Coconut Oil Prices

China's imported refined coconut oil market also softened during Q2.

Philippines-origin RBD coconut oil prices on a CIF Shanghai basis declined by approximately 5.30% compared with Q1.

Lower Philippine export prices were the main influence. Comfortable supply conditions gave Chinese buyers greater flexibility in procurement.

June prices declined by approximately 13.09% compared with May, showing a stronger correction toward the end of the quarter.

Indonesia-origin refined coconut oil was comparatively stable during the quarter, declining by only around 0.45%.

However, June still recorded a decline of approximately 9.78%, as buyers reduced procurement.

China's market therefore remained relatively stable for much of Q2 before experiencing a more visible correction in June.

India Coconut Oil Prices

India recorded some of the steepest quarterly declines in the monitored coconut oil markets.

At Ex-Kochi, Kerala, edible coconut oil prices declined by approximately 14.58% during Q2 2026.

The main reason was improved domestic copra availability from the Kerala harvest. Earlier supply tightness eased, giving local mills better access to raw material.

As availability improved, local prices gradually moved lower. June brought another decline of approximately 9.69% compared with May.

The Ex-Kozhikode market recorded the steepest quarterly decline among the monitored markets, falling by approximately 16.90%.

The same supply-side factors were responsible. Better copra availability reduced the pressure that had previously supported higher prices.

June prices declined by another 6.84% as buyers moderated procurement.

Kangayam Market Shows a Different Trend

Ex-Kangayam in Tamil Nadu behaved differently.

Prices declined by approximately 8.34% during Q2, reflecting comfortable copra availability across the region.

However, unlike most other markets, June recorded a sharp rebound. Coconut oil prices increased by approximately 16.02% compared with May.

Tighter local copra availability toward the end of the month supported this late recovery.

This is a useful example of why regional supply conditions matter. Even when the broader national market is declining, a particular location can experience a short-term increase if local raw material becomes harder to obtain.

Major Factors Affecting Coconut Oil Prices

Several factors influenced the Coconut Oil Prices during Q2 2026.

Better Copra Availability

The biggest factor was improved copra supply. Harvest-season availability in the Philippines, Indonesia, and parts of India reduced the raw-material pressure that had previously supported higher prices.

Softer Edible Oil Demand

Demand from food and other edible oil applications became less aggressive. Buyers were more comfortable purchasing according to immediate requirements rather than building large inventories.

Palm Oil Competition

Palm oil remained an important competing vegetable oil. When palm oil is cheaper, some buyers can use it as an alternative depending on the application. This limits the ability of coconut oil sellers to increase prices.

Buyer Procurement Behaviour

Buyer behaviour also changed during the quarter. With supply becoming more comfortable, many buyers adopted a wait-and-watch approach. Instead of purchasing large quantities, they focused on confirmed requirements.

Regional Supply Differences

The different movements in India demonstrate the importance of local supply. Kochi and Kozhikode experienced significant declines, while Kangayam recorded a late-month rebound because of tighter local availability.

Coconut Oil Price Chart and Price Index

The Coconut Oil Price Chart for Q2 2026 clearly indicates a broad softening trend.

India recorded some of the largest quarterly declines, while the Philippines and Indonesia experienced more moderate quarterly movements. Import markets such as Malaysia, the Netherlands, the USA, and China largely followed their respective origin markets.

The Coconut Oil Price Index also reflected the changing market balance. Instead of supply shortages driving prices higher, the market was increasingly shaped by comfortable raw-material availability and cautious purchasing.

For procurement teams, watching both quarterly and monthly movements is important. A quarterly decline may hide a much sharper correction during the final month, as seen across several markets in June.

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Coconut Oil Price Forecast

The outlook for coconut oil prices will largely depend on copra availability, edible oil demand, palm oil prices, and buyer purchasing behaviour.

If copra supply remains comfortable, coconut oil prices may continue to face downward pressure. Buyers are likely to remain selective when inventories are sufficient.

However, weather conditions, changes in coconut production, or unexpected supply disruptions can quickly change the situation. Coconut production is closely connected with agricultural conditions, so supply can vary from one season to another.

Palm oil will also remain an important factor. If palm oil continues to offer a significant price advantage, coconut oil could face additional competition in applications where substitution is possible.

For buyers, monitoring the Coconut Oil Price Trend, Coconut Oil Price Chart, and Coconut Oil Price Index can help identify changes early and support better procurement planning.

The Coconut Oil Price Trend during Q2 2026 was mainly downward across the monitored markets. Better copra availability from the Philippines and Indonesia harvest season, softer edible oil demand, and competition from cheaper palm oil created a more comfortable supply environment.

India recorded some of the strongest quarterly declines, particularly at Kochi and Kozhikode. The Philippines and Indonesia also moved lower, while import markets in Malaysia, the Netherlands, the USA, and China generally followed the softer origin-market direction.

June was particularly important because prices corrected more sharply across many markets. The main exception was Kangayam in India, where tighter local copra availability resulted in a strong late-month rebound.

Overall, Q2 2026 showed that Coconut Oil Prices were highly sensitive to raw-material availability and buyer behaviour. Going forward, businesses should closely monitor copra supply, competing edible oils, downstream demand, and regional inventory levels. These factors will continue to play an important role in shaping the next phase of the coconut oil market.

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